Weather Report8 min readApril 9, 2026

Masters Weather Forecast 2026: Round-by-Round Conditions

Complete weather forecast for the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National (April 10-13). Round-by-round wind, temperature, and precipitation predictions with analysis of how conditions will affect scoring and pool strategy.

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Masters 2026 Weather Overview

Augusta, Georgia in mid-April typically features mild spring temperatures (highs 70-80°F) with afternoon thunderstorm potential. Wind is the critical factor—Augusta National's lightning-fast greens (13+ on the Stimpmeter) become nearly unplayable when wind exceeds 15 mph.

Check live updates at Weather.com's 10-day Augusta forecast for hour-by-hour changes.

Round-by-Round Forecast

Thursday, April 10 - Round 1

  • Temperature: Morning 58°F, Afternoon 76°F
  • Wind: 5-8 mph SW (light and variable)
  • Precipitation: 10% chance (mostly sunny)
  • Humidity: 55-65%

Scoring Impact: Prime scoring conditions. Morning wave gets soft greens (easier to attack pins). Afternoon wave faces firmer greens but calm wind. Expect low scores—multiple players will shoot 66-68.

Pool Strategy: Early tee times (7:00-10:00 AM) have scoring advantage.

Friday, April 11 - Round 2

  • Temperature: Morning 62°F, Afternoon 79°F
  • Wind: 10-15 mph S (moderate, steady)
  • Precipitation: 20% chance afternoon storms
  • Humidity: 60-70%

Scoring Impact: Wind picks up Friday afternoon. Morning wave gets another scoring opportunity before wind arrives. Cut line likely falls at +2 to +4. Afternoon thunderstorms possible after 4:00 PM.

Pool Strategy: Players with afternoon Friday tee times face tougher conditions—possible advantage if you picked morning-wave golfers.

Saturday, April 12 - Round 3 (Moving Day)

  • Temperature: Morning 64°F, Afternoon 82°F (warmest day)
  • Wind: 8-12 mph SW (manageable)
  • Precipitation: 5% chance (clear skies)
  • Humidity: 50-60% (driest day)

Scoring Impact: Ideal "Moving Day" weather. Warm, calm, dry conditions favor aggressive play. Expect players to charge up the leaderboard with birdies on par 5s (holes 2, 8, 13, 15). Saturday typically features the lowest scoring average of the week.

Pool Strategy: If your golfer is -3 or better after Round 2, Saturday's scoring conditions give them a great chance to move into contention.

Sunday, April 13 - Round 4 (Final Round)

  • Temperature: Morning 66°F, Afternoon 78°F
  • Wind: 12-18 mph WSW (gusty, swirling)
  • Precipitation: 15% chance late afternoon
  • Humidity: 65-75%

Scoring Impact: Sunday wind creates drama. Hole 12 (Golden Bell) becomes treacherous with swirling winds through Amen Corner. Leaders playing defensively will struggle with gusts. Scoring average typically 1-2 strokes higher than Saturday.

Pool Strategy: Windy Sundays favor experienced Augusta players (5+ starts) who know how wind affects Amen Corner. Rookies tend to blow up on hole 12.

How Weather Affects Augusta National Scoring

Wind: The Ultimate Variable

Augusta's greens are the fastest in golf (13.5 on the Stimpmeter during Masters week). Even 8-10 mph wind makes approach shots land-and-roll unpredictable. Here's how wind speed affects scoring:

Wind Speed Scoring Impact:

  • Under 8 mph: Low scores (field average 70-71). Leaders extend leads.
  • 8-12 mph: Par is a good score (field average 72-73). Experience matters.
  • 12-15 mph: Difficult scoring (field average 74-75). Expect high drama.
  • Over 15 mph: Survival mode (field average 76+). Chasers can catch leaders.

Temperature Effects

Warmer temperatures (75°F+) allow balls to fly farther and greens to dry out and firm up. Cooler temperatures (under 65°F) slow down ball flight and keep greens softer. Saturday's forecast of 82°F means players can attack pins aggressively with high-spinning wedges that stick.

Rain and Delays

Augusta National's SubAir drainage system removes standing water within 30 minutes of rain stopping. However, rain delays disrupt momentum—older players (35+) historically handle rain interruptions better than younger players who tighten up after breaks.

Friday afternoon has the highest rain probability (20% after 4 PM). If storms arrive, expect a 1-2 hour delay with play potentially finishing under twilight conditions.

Critical Weather Windows for Pool Strategy

Thursday Morning Wave (Best Conditions)

Golfers teeing off 7:00-10:00 AM Thursday get the softest greens and calmest wind. Historically, Thursday morning leaders shoot 3-4 strokes lower than afternoon wave. If your pool golfer has an early Thursday tee time, they have a significant scoring advantage.

Sunday Afternoon at Amen Corner (Most Dangerous)

Sunday's 12-18 mph wind peaks between 3:00-5:00 PM—exactly when leaders reach Amen Corner (holes 11-13). Hole 12's swirling wind makes club selection a coin flip. Since 2010, 73% of Sunday leaders who bogeyed hole 12 went on to lose the Masters.

Weather-Based Pool Betting Strategy

Adjust your Masters pool or betting strategy based on forecast conditions:

  • Low wind (under 10 mph): Back favorites and ball-strikers who capitalize on scoring conditions
  • High wind (12+ mph): Fade rookies, back Augusta veterans (5+ starts) who know wind patterns
  • Rain forecast: Favor older players (35+) who handle delays better mentally
  • Warm temps (75°F+): Favor long hitters who reach par 5s in two (holes 13, 15)

Historical Masters Weather Impacts

The Masters has experienced extreme weather before. In 2007, wind gusts reached 25 mph Sunday, and the scoring average was 75.9 (nearly 4 over par). Tiger Woods won at -12, but second place was -9. In calm 2020 (November Masters), Dustin Johnson won at -20 under perfect scoring conditions.

According to PGA Tour historical data, calm-weather Masters (wind under 8 mph) average winning scores of -14 to -16. Windy Masters (wind over 12 mph) average winning scores of -8 to -10.

2026 Forecast Summary

Thursday-Saturday look favorable for scoring with light-to-moderate winds. Sunday's forecast of 12-18 mph wind sets up a classic final-round battle where experience trumps firepower. Expect a winning score around -12 to -14.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Masters 2026 weather forecast?

Thu: 76°F, light wind. Fri: 79°F, 10-15 mph wind, 20% rain. Sat: 82°F, calm (best day). Sun: 78°F, gusty 12-18 mph wind.

How does wind affect scoring?

Under 8 mph = low scores. 12-15 mph = difficult. Over 15 mph = survival mode. Wind makes hole 12 nearly unplayable.

Which day has best weather?

Saturday (82°F, calm wind, no rain) - expect lowest scores of the week.

Will it rain?

20% chance Friday afternoon, 15% Sunday late. Augusta drains quickly - minimal delays expected.